CS2 NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
UPGRADE v Black Phoenix
Fri 28 Aug · 18:00 UK · Bo3
Black Phoenixthe pick · Toss-up
51%model probability · fair odds 1.96
LandedBlack Phoenix won · Brier 0.240
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.