Tue 15 Sept · 18:00 UK · Bo5

R8 Esportsthe pick · Strong
73%model probability · fair odds 1.38
LandedR8 Esports won · Brier 0.075

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.