Fri 11 Sept · 12:00 UK · Bo3

Sinnersthe pick · Toss-up
50%model probability · fair odds 2.00
GradedNuclear TigeRES won · Brier 0.250

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.