Thu 27 Aug · 13:00 UK · Bo3

SPARTAthe pick · Lean
63%model probability · fair odds 1.59
LandedSPARTA won · Brier 0.138

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.