Fri 11 Sept · 18:00 UK · Bo3

paiNthe pick · Toss-up
56%model probability · fair odds 1.78
MissedShindeN won · Brier 0.316

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.