LoL North American Challengers League Playoffs
NRG Esports v Conviction
Wed 2 Sept · 22:00 UK · Bo5
NRG Esportsthe pick · Toss-up
51%model probability · fair odds 1.95
LandedNRG Esports won · Brier 0.237
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.