VAL VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
NRG Esports v 100 Thieves
Fri 4 Sept · 18:00 UK · Bo3
NRG Esportsthe pick · Toss-up
54%model probability · fair odds 1.86
Missed100 Thieves won · Brier 0.288
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.