VAL China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
Nova Esports v EDward Gaming
Sat 5 Sept · 10:00 UK · Bo3
Nova Esportsthe pick · Toss-up
54%model probability · fair odds 1.84
LandedNova Esports won · Brier 0.209
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.