Sun 6 Sept · 20:45 UK · Bo1

LOSthe pick · Toss-up
57%model probability · fair odds 1.76
LandedLOS won · Brier 0.185

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.