CS2 Exort Fiesta Group Stage
KAMUI v Fortress
Mon 14 Sept · 18:00 UK · Bo3
KAMUIthe pick · Lean
60%model probability · fair odds 1.66
LandedKAMUI won · Brier 0.157
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.