CS2 Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
HOTU v Eternal Fire
Fri 4 Sept · 12:30 UK · Bo3
Eternal Firethe pick · Toss-up
53%model probability · fair odds 1.90
MissedHOTU won · Brier 0.278
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.