CS2 Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
FOKUS v Virtus.pro
Sat 12 Sept · 09:00 UK · Bo3
FOKUSthe pick · Toss-up
53%model probability · fair odds 1.88
MissedVirtus.pro won · Brier 0.283
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.