Sat 12 Sept · 17:00 UK · Bo1

Fluxo W7Mthe pick · Lean
66%model probability · fair odds 1.52
LandedFluxo W7M won · Brier 0.116

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.