Wed 9 Sept · 22:00 UK · Bo1

Five Fearsthe pick · Strong
74%model probability · fair odds 1.36
MissedOutlast won · Brier 0.543

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.