Tue 1 Sept · 17:00 UK · Bo3

ALKAthe pick · Lean
65%model probability · fair odds 1.53
LandedALKA won · Brier 0.120

The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.