CS2 Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
FORZE Reload v Black Phoenix
Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK · Bo3
FORZE Reloadthe pick · Lean
60%model probability · fair odds 1.66
LandedFORZE Reload won · Brier 0.159
The probability is the model's estimate from team ratings and form, locked before the match and never edited. “Fair odds” is just that probability written as a decimal price (1 ÷ probability), not a bookmaker's quote. Check the calibration record to see how often picks at this level actually land.